Pre-tourney Rankings
Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.1#14
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#9
Pace66.4#272
Improvement-4.3#324

Offense
Total Offense+10.4#10
First Shot+9.8#6
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#123
Layup/Dunks+3.0#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#141
Freethrows+4.1#2
Improvement-2.1#281

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#40
First Shot+5.0#44
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#96
Layups/Dunks+2.9#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#39
Freethrows+3.3#23
Improvement-2.1#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 6.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 35.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round89.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen56.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight27.8% n/a n/a
Final Four12.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.6% n/a n/a
National Champion2.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 86-59 99.6%    1 - 0 +8.1 -0.1 +7.3
  Nov 16, 2015 126   Louisiana W 93-77 93%     2 - 0 +15.7 +16.9 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2015 73   Mississippi St. W 105-79 79%     3 - 0 +33.7 +25.0 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2015 26   Utah W 90-66 58%     4 - 0 +38.2 +25.0 +13.7
  Nov 22, 2015 31   Butler W 85-75 64%     5 - 0 +22.4 +15.5 +6.9
  Nov 27, 2015 127   Northeastern L 77-78 93%     5 - 1 -1.4 +4.3 -5.7
  Dec 01, 2015 79   @ Nebraska W 77-72 OT 72%     6 - 1 +14.9 +3.7 +10.9
  Dec 05, 2015 195   Charlotte W 88-60 96%     7 - 1 +23.0 +6.9 +14.8
  Dec 08, 2015 37   Florida W 66-55 76%     8 - 1 +19.7 +3.7 +16.7
  Dec 19, 2015 124   College of Charleston W 85-63 93%     9 - 1 +21.9 +11.1 +8.8
  Dec 22, 2015 250   La Salle W 95-49 97%     10 - 1 +40.6 +18.8 +21.0
  Dec 29, 2015 76   Princeton W 76-64 86%     11 - 1 +16.6 +8.7 +8.7
  Jan 02, 2016 38   Syracuse W 64-51 76%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +21.6 -1.6 +23.5
  Jan 09, 2016 46   Florida St. W 72-59 79%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +20.6 -3.1 +22.9
  Jan 12, 2016 4   @ Virginia L 58-66 27%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +14.6 +6.9 +6.1
  Jan 16, 2016 48   @ Clemson L 65-76 60%     13 - 3 2 - 2 +2.4 +8.1 -7.4
  Jan 20, 2016 206   @ Boston College W 67-53 93%     14 - 3 3 - 2 +14.0 -3.4 +17.0
  Jan 23, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 77-63 91%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +15.0 +4.7 +10.2
  Jan 25, 2016 17   Duke W 80-69 63%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +23.7 +17.7 +7.1
  Jan 30, 2016 74   @ North Carolina St. L 69-85 70%     16 - 4 5 - 3 -5.4 -1.6 -3.8
  Feb 03, 2016 36   Notre Dame W 79-70 76%     17 - 4 6 - 3 +17.7 +13.9 +4.8
  Feb 07, 2016 55   @ Georgia Tech W 75-68 63%     18 - 4 7 - 3 +19.7 +12.5 +7.6
  Feb 09, 2016 34   Pittsburgh W 65-63 75%     19 - 4 8 - 3 +11.0 +3.6 +7.6
  Feb 14, 2016 46   @ Florida St. W 67-65 60%     20 - 4 9 - 3 +15.5 +0.3 +15.2
  Feb 17, 2016 61   Virginia Tech W 65-49 83%     21 - 4 10 - 3 +22.0 +2.8 +21.1
  Feb 20, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 71-96 25%     21 - 5 10 - 4 -1.9 +9.9 -12.2
  Feb 22, 2016 4   Virginia W 64-61 47%     22 - 5 11 - 4 +19.8 +15.5 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2016 11   Louisville W 73-65 58%     23 - 5 12 - 4 +22.0 +24.1 -0.5
  Mar 02, 2016 36   @ Notre Dame W 68-50 56%     24 - 5 13 - 4 +32.6 +12.1 +24.2
  Mar 05, 2016 61   @ Virginia Tech L 62-77 66%     24 - 6 13 - 5 -3.2 -0.6 -3.7
  Mar 10, 2016 61   Virginia Tech W 88-82 75%     25 - 6 +14.9 +15.1 -0.5
  Mar 11, 2016 4   Virginia L 68-73 36%     25 - 7 +14.7 +10.3 +3.9
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.6 6.2 28.9 59.1 5.8 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.6 6.2 28.9 59.1 5.8 0.1 100.0%